Operational XRO Climate Forecasts

Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) forecasts

The plume show monthly IOD SST anomaly forecasts relative to the 1991–2020 climatology. Forecasts are generated using the XRO framework and uninitializted sensitivity experiments designed to isolate the contributions of different ocean-basin SST modes to ENSO evolution.

Forecast Experiments
  • XRO Forecast — CTRL forecast
  • w/o ENSO — excludes equatorial Pacific ENSO SST and WWV effects.
  • w/o Pacific — excludes both equatorial Pacific ENSO SST and WWV and extratropical Pacific NPMM and SPMM effects.
See details of uninitialized sensitivity experiments described in Zhao et al. (2024, Nature)

Differences between the CTRL forecast and the sensitivity experiments provide an estimate of the contributions of Pacific to the predicted evolution of IOD.

Disclaimer:

The XRO forecast is provided for informational and academic research purposes and is not intended for production use. This website and its affiliated entities expressly disclaim any liability for decisions or actions based on the reliance on this information. Furthermore, no responsibility is assumed for any consequential, special, or similar damages resulting from such reliance.

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